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Search resuls for: "Nimesh Vora"


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MUMBAI, Nov 20 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open slightly higher on Monday after the dollar declined to its lowest in over two months against a basket of major peers. Non-deliverable forwards indicate rupee will open at around 83.24-83.25 to the U.S. dollar, compared with 83.27 in the previous session. The dollar index fell 1.8% last week, the worst performance since mid-July. Asian currencies were mostly higher"It looks like it is setting up to be like last week.. rupee will do much in the face of the dollar's struggles," a forex trader at a bank said. "And let's say, for whatever reason, the dollar turns later this week, then too the rupee will not budge.
Persons: Brent, Mary Daly, Susan Collins, Nimesh Vora, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, Fed, San Francisco Fed, Boston, ANZ, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, Asia, U.S
MUMBAI, Nov 10 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee dropped to a record low against the U.S. dollar on Friday, which alongside the outage of the interbank order matching system, prompted the central bank to step in. The rupee dropped to a record low of 83.42 to the dollar and was last at 83.3925. "On why the RBI today decided that (allow rupee to drop below 83.30), it's impossible to say," a forex trader at a bank said. Next week will be very important to see if a new range has been made." He, however, said that the range in the USD/INR has now shifted higher.
Persons: Alok Sharma, Arnob Biswas, Nimesh Vora, Sonia Cheema Organizations: U.S, Reserve Bank of India, SMC Global Securities, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, ICBC
MUMBAI, Nov 6 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to rise at open on Monday after softer-than-expected U.S. jobs data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will not hike interest rates further. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 83.08-83.12 to the U.S. dollar compared with 83.2850 in the previous session. Asian currencies extended last week's advance after the dollar index slumped on Friday following data that indicated that the U.S. labor market was cooling. "Last week’s Fed meeting and latest data flow suggest the rate hike cycle is most likely over. "It's to be fully expected that the rupee will underperform in times when the dollar is under stress," the forex trader said.
Persons: Nimesh Vora, Mrigank Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Reuters, Treasury, Fed, DBS Research, Korean, Malaysian, Reserve Bank of, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI
A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, August 13, 2018. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsMUMBAI, Oct 25 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee rose marginally on Wednesday, helped by retreating oil prices and U.S Treasury yields, while the dollar/rupee cash swap rate indicated that dollar liquidity was less than sufficient. The rupee was at 83.1500 to the U.S. dollar at 11:53 a.m. IST, up from its previous close of 83.1925 but slightly below its open at 83.0650. Meanwhile, USD/INR swap rate for today over tomorrow was at 0.15 paisa following the expiry of the Reserve Bank of India's $5 billion swap on Monday. At 0.15 paisa, the imputed rupee lending rate for raising dollars is 6%, which is 80 basis points below the rupee call rate.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Brent, Morgan Stanley, Nimesh Vora, Varun Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, U.S, Reserve Bank, India's, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, Asia, U.S
A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, August 13, 2018. Non-deliverable forwards (NDFs) indicate the rupee will open at around 83.16-83.18 to the U.S. dollar, compared with 83.1225 in the previous session. The rupee on Friday managed a small relief rally on aggressive intervention by the RBI in NDFs and spot. Its looks like the intervention "will not prove too sticky" and the rupee "will be back under pressure", a forex trader at a bank said. The RBI's swap maturity has promoted concerns about a dollar crunch and the central bank, like last week, may once again be a provider of dollars, according to traders.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Nimesh Vora, Sonia Cheema Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Reserve Bank, India's, U.S ., Federal Reserve, Fed, ANZ, Brent, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, NDFs
A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, August 13, 2018. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 83.26-83.27 to the U.S. dollar compared with 83.2575 in the previous session and within a whisker of the 83.29 record low. The Reserve Bank of India has over the last several days intervened to prevent the rupee from falling to a lifetime low. "From what I have seen this week, odds of a new low (on rupee) are now higher." The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 4.9550% in Asia, the highest in sixteen years.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, John Williams, Jun Rong, Nimesh Vora, Sohini Goswami Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, U.S, Reserve Bank of, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, IG Asia, Brent, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, Reserve Bank of India, Asia, Singapore
A man walks behind the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) logo inside its headquarters in Mumbai, India, April 8, 2022. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had conducted a $5 billion sell/buy dollar/rupee swap last year. In a buy/sell swap, a bank buys dollars on the spot date and sells them at a later date. Meanwhile, the dollar/rupee cash swap rate fell on Monday, suggesting the banking system is already facing a dollar crunch. The USD/INR cash/tomorrow swap rate was at 0.15 paisa, implying a rupee interest rate of about 6%.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Nimesh Vora, Mrigank Organizations: Reserve Bank of India, REUTERS, Rights, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI
A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, August 13, 2018. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsMUMBAI, Oct 12 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee on Thursday will be boosted by the pullback in oil prices and softer U.S. Treasury yields, while investors wait for the important U.S. inflation data due later in the day. India's inflation data is due after market hours. Meanwhile, headline U.S. consumer inflation index (CPI) is expected to rise 0.3% month-on-month. "Today’s U.S. CPI inflation may surprise like yesterday’s PPI inflation," DBS Research said in a note.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Brent, Nimesh Vora, Mrigank Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Fed, CPI, DBS Research, Brent, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, Asia, U.S
Rupee to rise on bets Fed will not hike rates further
  + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Non-deliverable forwards indicate rupee will open at around 83.18-83.20 to the U.S. dollar compared with 83.2450 in the previous session. The dollar index was down to 105.74 and the Korean won led Asian currencies higher. The dollar index has struggled since reaching a year-to-date high of 107.34 last Tuesday. It's "possible" that the recent rise in yields on longer-term Treasuries means the Fed need not raise interest rates as much as otherwise, but it's hard to know definitively, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said on Tuesday. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic outright said the U.S. central bank need not raise borrowing costs any further.
Persons: Thomas White, Brent, Neel Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, Michael Hewson, Nimesh Vora, Nivedita Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S . Federal, U.S, Korean, Treasury, Fed, . Atlanta Fed, Brent, Thomson Locations: India, Rights MUMBAI, Israel, Asia, Minneapolis, U.S
Rupee set to rally on India's inclusion in JPMorgan bond index
  + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 82.80-82.82 to the U.S. dollar, compared with 83.09 in the previous session. Indian government bonds will be included in the Government Bond Index-Emerging Markets index and the index suite, JPMorgan said on Friday. Inclusion will start on June 28, 2024, and extend over 10 months with 1% increments on its index weighting. India's inclusion in the JPMorgan index increases the probability of inclusion into the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bonds Index, which, IDFC First Bank estimates, could lead to additional inflows of $15 billion to $20 billion. The dollar index reached 105.74 on Thursday, the highest in over six months.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Nimesh Vora, Savio D'Souza Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S ., Government Bond, JPMorgan, IDFC, Bank, Bloomberg, Treasury, U.S . Federal, ING Bank, Brent, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI
A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, August 13, 2018. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas Acquire Licensing RightsMUMBAI, Sept 20 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee, hovering near a record low, is expected to remain under pressure amid focus on crude oil prices and the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy decision. Non-deliverable forwards (NDF) indicate rupee will open at around 83.25-83.29 to the U.S. dollar compared with 83.2675 in the previous session. The Fed on Wednesday is widely expected to keep the policy rate unchanged with futures assigning a near zero percent probability of a rate hike. "We expect the 2023 median policy rate forecast to show one more 25bps hike, for a terminal rate of 5.5-5.75%," BofA Global Research said in a note.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Brent, Nimesh Vora, Mrigank Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Reserve Bank of, Fed, Research, Brent, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, U.S . Federal, Reserve Bank of India, Asia
An attendant at a fuel station arranges Indian rupee notes in Kolkata, India, August 16, 2018. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open around the same level as its previous close of 82.9850. The dollar index was at 104.78, roughly at the same level it was prior to the U.S. inflation data. U.S. Treasury yields jumped following the data, but retreated and are now at levels lower than before the inflation reading. FEDWATCHANZ said that the August inflation was not sufficient to prompt a re-pricing in Fed expectations.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Nimesh Vora, Mrigank Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, U.S . Federal, FEDWATCH ANZ, ANZ, European Central Bank, Brent, Thomson Locations: Kolkata, India, Rights MUMBAI, U.S, Asia
MUMBAI, Sept 8 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open higher on Friday on the back of a pullback in U.S. Treasury yields and a broadly softer dollar. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 83.12-83.14 to the U.S. dollar compared with 83.21 in the previous session. The rupee has been flirting with the record low of 83.29 and has largely avoided it, thanks to the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) intervention. The dollar index retreated in the Asia session to 104.86, having reached a six-month high of 105.15 in the New York session. Another round of losses in the yuan suggest that upside on the rupee following the open "will not be much", the forex traders said.
Persons: Nimesh Vora, Sonia Cheema Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Reserve Bank of India's, New, ANZ, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, Mumbai, Asia, New York, U.S
"The RBI intervened on NDF in the morning (before local over-the-counter, OTC, markets opened) and it did the same yesterday," the head of treasury at a private sector bank said. The banker said the RBI has been intervening in the NDF market via the BIS (Bank of International Settlements) and a large U.S.-based bank. At times, we see (Indian) public sector bank names," the head of proprietary trading at a foreign bank said. By the time local OTC markets opened on Thursday, the contract had retreated to 83.20 and the spot opened at 83.12. Apart from NDF, the central bank has been likely supplying dollars via public sector banks in the local OTC market, traders said.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Nimesh Vora, Savio D'Souza Organizations: Bank of India, REUTERS, Rights, Reserve Bank of India, Reuters, U.S, BIS, Bank of International, New, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, U.S, Asia, New York
MUMBAI, Sept 4 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open little changed on Monday after a soft U.S. jobs report reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will not hike interest rates anymore, but the dollar still managed to rally. Non-deliverable forwards (NDF) indicate rupee will open at around Friday's level of 82.7150. Following the report, futures indicated almost no chance of a September rate hike and about a 35% chance of a hike in November. The dollar and U.S. yields initially dropped following the report but recovered later. The dollar index reached a high of 104.26 on Friday and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yields reached 4.17%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Nimesh, Eileen Soreng Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, ING Bank, Treasury, Labor, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, U.S
MUMBAI, Aug 31 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open higher on Thursday after the dollar index extended losses following a downward revision to U.S. economic growth in the second quarter. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 82.62-82.64 to the U.S. dollar, compared with its close of 82.7325 in the previous session. Asian currencies were up 0.1% to 0.2% after the dollar index fell for the third straight day on Wednesday to reach a two-week low. The dollar index dropped to near 103 and U.S. Treasury retreated after weaker-than-expected growth and labour market data lowered expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates further. "The GDP data is not going to have much of an impact on the rupee," the fx trader said.
Persons: Nimesh Vora, Savio D'Souza Organizations: U.S ., . Treasury, Federal Reserve, ING Bank, Treasury, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, Mumbai, U.S
A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, August 13, 2018. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsMUMBAI, Aug 22 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open little changed on Tuesday on the back of a recovery in the Chinese yuan and other Asian currencies despite a further rise in U.S. yields. Asian currencies managed a recovery on Tuesday, despite the U.S. Treasury yields. The offshore yuan was back below 7.30 to the dollar on bets of tightening up of offshore yuan liquidity. China's major state-owned banks were seen actively mopping up the offshore yuan on Monday.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Nimesh Vora, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Reserve Bank of, Treasury, Federal Reserve, ING Bank, ING, U.S, Brent, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Reserve Bank of India
The rupee closed at 82.9350 per U.S. dollar, 0.2% stronger than its close of 83.1075 on Monday. "Inflows for initial public offerings and presence of the central bank around 83.10 levels ensured some strength in the rupee after nearly two weeks of fall," said Anil Bhansali, head treasury at Finrex Treasury Advisors. The easing of the dollar index also aided in helping the rupee strengthen past the 83 mark, a trader with a private bank said. "A large foreign bank was mainly on the selling side," the private bank trader added. India's central bank ensured the rupee did not depreciate significantly despite immense dollar-buying pressure from oil companies, Bhansali said.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Anil Bhansali, Vishnu Prakash R, Jerome Powell's, Jackson, Bhansali, Swati Bhat, Janane Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, Companies, Aeroflex Industries, Vishnu, U.S, Traders, Jackson, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India
Rupee likely to decline on yuan-led weakness in Asia fx
  + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
MUMBAI, Aug 21 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to drop at the opening on Monday, tracking losses in Asian peers and on persisting worries over U.S. yields. Non-deliverable forwards indicate rupee will open at around 83.18-83.20 to the U.S. dollar, compared with 83.1025 in the previous session. The offshore Chinese yuan dropped to near 7.32 to the dollar on Monday despite a smaller-than-expected interest rate cut. More than 90% of the economists had predicted a 15 bps rate cut. Investors expect Chair Jerome Powell to give clarity on the interest rate path.
Persons: Fed's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Nimesh Vora, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: U.S ., Reserve Bank of India, Reuters, Federal Reserve, ANZ, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, Mumbai, China
MUMBAI, Aug 17 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee on Thursday is expected to open just shy of its record low in the wake of a further rise in U.S yields on bets that interest rates are likely to say higher for longer. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 83.20-83.22 to the U.S. dollar compared with 82.95 in the previous session. The rupee's record low is 83.29, reached in October 2022. A decline below 83.30 for the rupee "would trigger a new round" of dollar buying and "you can expect a sizeable move", he said. Resilient U.S. economic data and worries over supply have been among the reasons cited by analysts for the jump in U.S. yields.
Persons: Nimesh Vora, Nivedita Organizations: U.S, NDF, Reserve Bank of, U.S . Federal, Fed, DBS Research, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, India, Reserve Bank of India, Asia
Indian rupee drops below 83/USD, RBI likely intervenes
  + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
MUMBAI, Aug 14 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee on Monday declined below 83 to the U.S. dollar for the first time since October 2022, prompting the Reserve Bank of India to intervene, three traders told Reuters. The rupee was at 82.9650 to the dollar by 09:32 a.m. IST, down from 82.8450 on Friday. "It's obviously not a surprise that the RBI is there, but today seemed like the kind of day where it was possible they would relent". The Korean won, the Malaysian ringgit and the Indonesian rupiah were down between 0.6% and 0.8%. Reporting by Nimesh Vora; Editing by Savio D'Souza and Sonia CheemaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Nimesh Vora, Savio D'Souza, Sonia Cheema Organizations: U.S, Reserve Bank of India, Reuters, Korean, Malaysian, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI
MUMBAI, Aug 11 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee will likely weaken on Friday on expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will keep interest rates high despite signs that price pressures are moderating. U.S. equities rallied, the dollar index dropped and U.S. yields declined after data showed that headline and core inflation rose less than expected. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said that while recent inflation data is moving in the right direction, more progress is needed before she would feel comfortable that the Fed has done enough. The dollar index , which dropped to 101.76 post the inflation data, was back near 102.50. Investors are cautious that while the Fed will pause in September, rates "will remain restrictive for some time", ANZ said in note.
Persons: it's, Mary Daly, Nimesh Vora, Sonia Cheema Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, U.S ., NDF, San Francisco Fed, ANZ, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, Mumbai, U.S, San
Rupee to weaken on dollar rally, RBI likely to intervene
  + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
MUMBAI, Aug 8 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open lower on Tuesday, weighed down by the recovery in the dollar index and a decline in Asian peers. Non-deliverable forwards indicate rupee will open at around 82.85 to the U.S. dollar, down from 82.7425 on Monday. The dollar index rose in Asia, and has now recovered a large part of its losses suffered post the U.S. jobs data. Asian currencies were down between 0.2% and 0.6%, with the offshore Chinese yuan slipping to 7.2250 to the dollar. The U.S. inflation data due Thursday is seen key to the Fed's outlook.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Nimesh Vora, Rashmi Organizations: U.S ., Reserve Bank of India, U.S, U.S . Federal, Reuters, ANZ, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, Asia, U.S ., U.S
MUMBAI, Aug 7 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to recover on Monday on the back of a pullback in U.S. yields and the decline in the dollar after the U.S. economy added fewer jobs than was forecast. We now move on to the U.S. inflation data and the RBI (Reserve Bank of India)." The 2-year U.S. yield declined while the already low odds of Federal Reserve rate hike in September dropped further. The unemployment rate dropped and wage growth surprised on the upside, suggesting that the U.S. labour market remained resilient. Meanwhile, U.S. consumer inflation data and the RBI policy decision are due Thursday.
Persons: payrolls, Nimesh Vora, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: U.S ., Reserve Bank of India, Federal, Federal Reserve, ING Bank, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, U.S
FILE PHOTO-A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, August 13, 2018. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File PhotoMUMBAI, Aug 4 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to remain under pressure on Friday after longer maturity U.S. yields reached the highest level this year. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open slightly weaker to the U.S. dollar from 82.7225 in the previous session. "The rupee and the whole EM complex will not see any sort of relief if the volatility in U.S. yields remains high." The Fitch downgrade of the U.S. credit rating, broadly resilient U.S. data and rising U.S. inflation expectations have contributed to the selloff in Treasuries.
Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Fitch, Nimesh Vora, Sonia Cheema Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Reserve Bank of India, U.S ., Reuters, NFP, DBS Research, Brent, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, MUMBAI, Treasuries, U.S
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